Governor Martín Llaryora leads the polls for the 2027 elections in Córdoba, despite the victory of La Libertad Avanza in last October's elections, according to a study by the Sicchar consultancy.
The survey, conducted by Carlos Sicchar, evaluated the provincial political scenario after the electoral victory of the national government and confirmed the good moment for President Javier Milei and La Libertad Avanza, but also exposed a fragmented opposition that allows the provincial Peronism to maintain its leadership.
The opposition to Llaryora's government appears divided into three main spaces: the one referenced by Luis Juez (Frente Cívico), the one led by Rodrigo de Loredo (UCR), and the one headed by Gabriel Bornoroni (LLA), as learned by the Noticias Argentinas Agency.
Milei and Llaryora Approval in Córdoba The study measured the degree of acceptance of both managements among Cordobesians. President Milei reached a 61% approval and a 37% disapproval, while Governor Llaryora obtained a 49% positive image against a 46% rejection.
This difference in acceptance levels reveals that, although the national leader enjoys greater popularity, the provincial governor maintains a solid support base that would allow him to face with a chance of success his re-election in 2027.
Six Electoral Scenarios for 2027 The Sicchar consultancy proposed six different scenarios to measure Llaryora's chances of being re-elected and the opposition's chances, both atomized and totally or partially united.
Scenario 1 — “all against all”: Llaryora 33%; Juez 17%; De Loredo 14%; Bornoroni 9%. Scenario 2 — “without Rodrigo de Loredo”: Llaryora 35%; Juez 22%; Bornoroni 13%. Undecided 18%. Scenario 3 — “without Luis Juez”: Llaryora 35%; De Loredo 20%; Bornoroni 15%. Undecided 18%. This last scenario is the most competitive for the provincial government, since the figure of the national president as a candidate brings the difference to only three percentage points. Scenario 4 — “opposition united in Bornoroni, without Juez and without De Loredo”: Llaryora 36%; Bornoroni 25%. Undecided 16%; others: left 3%, kirchnerismo 2%, vecinalismo 2%. Scenario 5 — “opposition united in Juez, without De Loredo and without Bornoroni”: Llaryora 35%; Juez 29%. Undecided 25%. Scenario 6 — “with a Milei candidate, without a specific name”: Llaryora 37%; candidate who says Milei 34%. Undecided 20%.
“The different scenarios proposed show that the provincial government maintains a structural strength by preserving a vote share close to 35%; the historical floor of Córdoba's Peronism,” states the Sicchar report. The study highlights that “in the provincial elections of the last decade, cordobesismo has sustained a competitive vote share of the order of 40%”.
“Beyond the national climate and the political cycle, the officialist vote is still 'there'. Reaffirming a solid base from which to dispute the election,” concludes the consultancy's analysis.
Technical Data of the Survey The survey was carried out by the Sicchar consultancy in the province of Córdoba between January 20 and 25. 1,080 cases were collected through a mixed collection system (60% face-to-face and 40% CAWI).
