BUENOS AIRES, Feb. 6 (NA) -- The Central Bank published its Market Expectations Survey (REM) this Thursday, where leading consultancies adjusted their figures following the controversy over INDEC's measurement methods. The market anticipates a deceleration in price increases at the start of the year and a dollar that will keep pace with inflation. According to the Argentine News Agency, the report consolidates the projections of 45 participants and outlines the following scenario for 2026. Dollar: What will be its year-end price Analysts forecast a downward correction in short-term expectations, anticipating greater exchange rate stability. February: A wholesale dollar price of $1,475 is expected. December 2026: The projection for the end of the year places the dollar at $1,750. Evolution: This would imply an annual increase of 20.9%, slightly below the expected inflation for the same period. The price path of the currency shows a slow but constant slide: $1,502 in March, $1,526 in April, and $1,549 in May. Inflation: The January slowdown and the 2% floor The REM estimated that January inflation would have been 2.4%. If confirmed, this would be the first deceleration after seven months of increases, breaking the rising streak that hit 2.8% in December. What's next: A gradual downward path is expected with 2.1% in February and 2.2% in March. The break: Only from April would inflation break the 2% floor again, settling at 1.9%, to reach 1.5% in July. Activity and Rates GDP: The market is cautious and projects an economic growth of 3.2% for all of 2026, although the 'Top 10' of consultancies reduced that expectation to 2.7%. Fixed-Term Deposits: A nominal annual rate (TNA) of 31.8% is projected for February, with a downward trend that would take it to 22% by year-end.
Argentina's Central Bank Publishes Inflation and Dollar Forecasts
Argentina's Central Bank released its Market Expectations Survey (REM), where analysts predict a slowdown in inflation early in the year and a stable dollar exchange rate. The dollar is expected to reach 1,750 pesos by the end of 2026, with inflation continuing its decline.