BUENOS AIRES, January 9, 2026 – Total News Agency-TNA – Argentina's total grain production is expected to reach a new historical record in the 2025/26 season, with an estimated volume of 154.8 million tons, representing a 12% increase over the previous cycle and far exceeding the previous high of 141.5 million tons recorded in the 2018/19 season. According to technical analyses, accumulated rainfall has allowed for the reconstitution of soil moisture profiles and has supported adequate crop development from the initial planting stages. Winter crops showed outstanding performance. The soybean complex would contribute around 36.7 billion dollars, maintaining its position as the main source of income linked to foreign trade in agricultural products. The projected performance for the 2025/26 season reinforces expectations of a key year for the Argentine agricultural sector, both for its contribution to economic growth and for its impact on foreign exchange generation, fiscal revenue, and activity levels in regional economies. Soybeans, while not showing extraordinary figures, would maintain a high volume and consolidate its central role within the Argentine export scheme. In value terms, external sales of the agro-industrial complex would generate revenues of approximately 36.8 billion dollars, consolidating the sector as the main source of foreign exchange for the Argentine economy. The soybean complex would continue to lead the export contribution, with estimated shipments of 19.5 billion dollars, followed by corn with 8.2 billion and wheat with 3.75 billion dollars. The data confirms a strong rebound of the agro-industrial sector after several years conditioned by severe droughts and adverse weather events. The productive recovery is explained mainly by the substantial improvement in climatic conditions during the last winter and the normalization of the rainfall regime in much of the Pampean region. These three complexes concentrate the largest part of agro-industrial exports and are key to the country's external balance. In fiscal matters, the technical report projects that revenue from Export Duties (DEX) from the six main agro-industrial chains would amount to about 4.83 billion dollars in 2026, representing a 4% increase over the estimate for 2025. Production of 61 million tons is projected, implying a 22% year-on-year jump, driven by the recovery of the planted area and a significant improvement in yields after the sharp cut suffered in cycles affected by La Niña. However, analysts underline that the sustainability of this scenario will depend on climatic stability, the evolution of international prices, and local macroeconomic conditions. Wheat reached an estimated production of 27.7 million tons, while barley would reach 5.6 million, both record levels. Exports of grains, flours, and oils are projected at around 110 million tons, the largest volume recorded to date. However, the entity warned that the final result of the campaign will depend on the climatic evolution during the critical months of January and February, especially regarding extreme temperatures and precipitation distribution. In the commercial sphere, the impact of the record production would be significant. This result was supported by a combination of higher average yields and a stable planted area, favored by the expectation of better relative prices and a more benign climatic context than in previous campaigns. In the coarse grain harvest, corn appears as one of the main drivers of growth.
