Last week, a meeting was held where this exit was debated. One of the points discussed was labor reform, as President Milei is attempting to reach a consensus with the governors and secure the broadest possible support in the National Congress to ensure its approval. Andrada was the one who brought up the discussion, working in line with the governor of Catamarca, Raúl Jalil, who has already spoken in favor of labor reform with a nod to the president. Bullrich is currently observing the situation and will seek to add these four senators to the ranks of La Libertad Avanza. While this is unlikely, it is not ruled out that they could become allies of the National Government in a block where they might converge with the Santiago del Estero lawmakers Zamora and del Carmen Moreno. What cannot be denied is that the most opposition bloc to Milei's government in the Senate is virtually broken. It already has the fewest senators since the return of democracy, and that number could fall even further if these six lawmakers walk out.
Peronism is losing strength in the National Congress, and after December 10, it will have, at best, 28 senators, discounting six of the 34 it currently holds. At best, because two senators from Unión por la Patria have already been elected and have suggested the possibility of forming their own bloc. These are Gerardo Zamora and Elía Esther del Carmen Moreno. Their potential exit is due to political disagreements with the bloc led by the Formosan José Mayans, so they will be offered to form a new sub-bloc within Unión por la Patria. The defeat in the past legislative elections left a bloody wound, something that former President Cristina Kirchner had warned Buenos Aires Governor Axel Kicillof about when discussing the split of elections. The provincial leader's decision can first be understood by the need to make a strong showing in the province of Buenos Aires to avoid losing authority in the local legislature. But from the Camporist side of the situation, they argue that Peronism has the chance to do only one good election at a time, so their interpretation is that if concurrent elections had been held, the national results could have been much better. This is counterfactual. Everyone can have their own point of view and feel they are right, but the truth is that it could not be proven that a different scenario would have been beneficial for the main opposition to President Javier Milei's government. After the elections, there is not much that can be done. Only to contain one's own, retain them by any means, make a mea culpa, and analyze how to set up a more promising scenario for 2027.
This unexpected scenario, in which Peronism is at its historical low in parliamentary representation, comes at a time when the ruling party is slowly but steadily becoming the most representative force. Not only because of the upset in the last elections, where La Libertad Avanza achieved a much better-than-expected result, but also because of the transfer of deputies from PRO to the party constituted by Milei. This was a move in which the Minister of National Security, Patricia Bullrich, actively participated, and she had several lawmakers who see themselves as "Bullrichists" and respond to their political boss much more than to former President Mauricio Macri. It is in this line that there could be a new break in Kirchnerism in the Senate, and one of the Unión por la Patria sub-blocs is also beginning to raise the possibility of breaking away, although it is not clear where they are headed. These are the four federalist senators: Guillermo Eduardo Andrada, María Carolina Moisés, Jesús Fernando Rejal, and Fernando Aldo Salino.
