In March of last year, 39.8% of respondents indicated that low income was their primary concern, a percentage that today stands at 40.7%, showing a slight variation. When respondents were asked to choose a single concern, 'not making ends meet' was the most common answer with 36.2% of responses.
When asked which option would be more important if elections were held today, 54.4% would choose 'to vote for an opposing candidate to Milei's government to impose limits', compared to 45.6% who would choose a candidate 'who supports the government so it can advance its reforms'. While inflation and the price of food concern 41.0% of the population today, in March of last year that percentage was 63.7%, showing a pronounced decline.
A notable data point is the transfer of votes between parties: 39.9% of those who voted for Bullrich in 2023 would now support Libertad Avanza, while only 1.3% of that same group would choose Kirchnerism. The survey also addressed issues related to concerns, personal economic situations, and future expectations of Argentines.
On a more institutional level, the functioning of the justice system concerns 24.1% of respondents, while corruption or lack of transparency in the government worries 18.9%. The interesting aspect of this data is to observe the evolution of these concerns over time.
The results of the latest survey from Proyección Consultores, conducted between February 17 and 22 with a sample size of 2,029 cases, provide a complex and nuanced picture of how Argentines perceive this episode and its political implications. The study revealed that 45.5% of respondents believe that Milei recommended the cryptocurrency Libra for his own benefit or that of close individuals.
Regarding trust in Milei, 45.5% of respondents say they never trusted the President, while 14.3% say they trust him less now. However, 31.4% of respondents accept the President's justification that 'he was not well-informed on the matter', while 23.1% claim to be uninformed about the issue.
The study also explored how the scandal could influence the 2025 legislative elections. In terms of concrete voting intention, Libertad Avanza leads with 28.8%, followed by Kirchnerism (17.9%) and Peronism in general (15.4%). Inflation, food prices, and other basic household expenses rank third, with 35.1% mentioning them. This somewhat mitigates the negative impact of the 45.5% who question Milei's intentions.
Manuel Zunino, associate director of Proyección Consultores, added that 'the 'Libra Gate' affects three key pillars of Milei's image: honesty, attitude, and the perception that he is a person of great ability and knowledge. I think it is a scratch for the government; if they do not take care of the wound, it could open further and could become deeper and more concerning; for now, we can say that the impact is moderate.' The scandal, while not explicitly mentioning the word 'corruption', suggests that a significant portion of the population associates the scandal with non-transparent practices.
