According to specialists, a constant slowdown in inflation and greater monetary easing is expected in Argentina. This analysis takes into account various economic and political factors to provide a detailed perspective on the evolution of the dollar and the country's economy.
By December 2025, it is projected that the official wholesale exchange rate will reach $1311, while the monetary policy rates are estimated at 27.02% by the end of 2025 and 18.47% for 2026. It is noteworthy that the Central Bank reduced the monthly devaluation rate of the official currency in February from 2% to 1%, which is considered a key factor in this scenario.
On the other hand, the growth of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is expected to surpass the Latin American average in 2025 and 2026, driven by lower inflation, greater availability of credit, and ongoing government reforms. Additionally, a GDP growth of 4.5% is anticipated in 2025 and 3.6% in 2026.
Inflation is projected to be around 20.2% by 2026, while by the end of that year, the official exchange rate is estimated to reach $1567. Analysts agree that monetary easing will continue, which is considered favorable for credit and investment.
Several factors are included in this dollar forecast, such as GDP growth and the fiscal and trade measures implemented. It is highlighted that the government has reduced taxes on automobiles and lowered antidumping duties on imports as part of its strategy.
Key forecasts for the future indicate that inflation will close the year at 28.8%, representing a decrease of 2.9 percentage points according to the banks and consultancies that participated in the FocusEconomics report.
