Security is presented as the main concern for the people of Buenos Aires in the province governed by Axel Kicillof. According to a recent survey from the consulting firm Giacobbe & Associates, 64.7% of respondents believe that the security situation has worsened in the last decade, while only 11.1% think it has improved. This perception is reflected in the voting intention, where the party La Libertad Avanza leads with 41% support, surpassing kirchnerism with 21% and PRO with 11.6%. Other political forces, such as non-kirchnerist Peronism, the Left Front, and UCR, remain below 10%.
These results reinforce the position of the Milei government in the province of Buenos Aires, while the opposition faces a complicated scenario due to the lack of solid leadership and fragmentation that limits their electoral competitiveness. Internally, both PRO and Peronism continue to fragment their support bases, which could further complicate their performance in the upcoming elections.
Regarding public image, the Minister of National Security, Patricia Bullrich, leads the survey with a 54% positive image, followed by President Javier Milei with 53.1%, and Vice President Victoria Villarruel with 35.3%. In the opposition space, the ultra-kirchnerist governor Axel Kicillof leads with 30%, followed by Mauricio Macri with 27.5%, Cristina Kirchner with 25.1%, and Sergio Massa with 13.8%.
Looking ahead to the 2025 legislative elections, the outlook is challenging for the opposition. José Luis Espert leads the positive image ranking with 46%, followed by Diego Santilli with 33.6%, and Diego Valenzuela with 32.9%. In kirchnerism, Gabriel Katopodis is the best-positioned leader with 23.6%. Kirchnerist figures like Victoria Tolosa Paz, Mayra Mendoza, and Florencio Randazzo face an adverse scenario, as they do not exceed 20% positive image and accumulate more than 60% negative image, significantly reducing their chances of gaining votes in a highly polarized environment.
