Argentine economists believe that 2026 will be a pivotal year for the country. They argue that the macroeconomic situation has improved, making the key challenges consolidating stability and achieving sustained growth for most productive sectors.
Lucas Pussetto, editor of the IAE Business School's Monthly Economic Report, noted that the economy in December is in a significantly better position than was anticipated at the start of the year. A key development in 2025 was that the economic discussion was no longer dominated solely by urgency and emergencies. The nascent stability has become a tangible asset, improving expectations, confidence, and the planning horizon for businesses and households.
In this context, 2026 appears to be a pivotal year in which, if the stabilization process manages to consolidate, the challenge will be to transform that stability into sustained and widespread growth that reaches the majority of productive sectors.
Marina Dal Poggetto, a professor of Economics at IAE Business School, stated that 2025 is closing much better than it seemed a few months ago, while simultaneously improving prospects for 2026. She noted that inflation remains high, and consolidating a path for real wage growth will be a challenge for the upcoming year.
Damián Falcone, a professor of Risk Management at IAE Business School, evaluated that Argentina enters the new year in an advantageous position relative to major economic risks. However, he pointed out that serious challenges persist regarding the ability to accumulate international reserves, a necessary condition for returning to credit markets and facing any international or local turbulence.
Eduardo Fracchia, a professor of Economics at IAE Business School, stated that Argentina is ending the year with an estimated growth of 4% and highlighted: "It has been a long time since we had two consecutive years of growth, and this time it will be achieved with an estimated growth of around 3% for 2026."
Experts also discussed the impact of the exchange rate band policy. They noted that the change in bands, effective January 1, will allow the ceiling to keep up with inflation and enable the accumulation of reserves. However, the lower band has lost its meaning and perhaps should be raised.
"The disinflation process continues its course," one expert said, "while the government's central objective, alongside stabilization, is growth with employment," given that "the reconfiguration process affects the conurbans with industry, construction, and commerce more."
"In the third year of their management, all recent presidencies have faced crises, but in this case, it seems it will be a promising year for the economy," he concluded.
